Greek Islands and itiotic central banks...

Never thought we would see these guys on one stage: Rogers, Ferrage, Paul...

FED has NO credibilty, no SENSE and no Plan…untested medicine and unintended consquences

The speakers make some excellent points about the FED’s QE being a liability for the economy.

I have pointed out many many times that the FED has directly been blowing bubbles in leveraged markets and actually hampering any real economic recovery for real people. Apparently, the FED did not see a 80% drop in oil after a 100+% risk in only a short time as an issue that it could have contributed to. Nor does the FED see the blood that it has on its hands in triggering the Arab spring which has been anything but. In fact, I wrote  post called “BURNanke has blood on his hands”. Since the FED and adjust the CPI and it can be remodelled by them at any time, they can eliminate any unfavorable data points at their whim…they are doing this in nearly every case in the last 30 years…thay are not understanding any of their manipulations and interventions.

The FED has "Over promised and Under delivered…” and it has been the chief lemming leading all the other lemmings right to the edge of the same cliff.
Below is key commentary excerpted from Kevin Walsh’s interview.

Commodities and Precious Metals - QE is not working…BURNanke doctrine has failed...

Today as yesterday, the Dollar is down .5+%, howver, most commodities are down too. 

What this really means is that Gold and Silver’s in ability to post green numbers, and big ones at that, demonstrates EXTREME weakness…to me this clearly has implications of how participants are thinking about QE and Central Bank policy, the economy and demand. To puts this in perspective the previously when the dollar dropped this much GOLD rallied tripple digits. And what precious metals are saying is that the deflation magnet shown in the relative performance (real-estate and credit recovery led S&P recovery remember) is pulling. Paper assets are exactly that paper…and worth less than real ones when one realizes that there is much too much malinvested credit around and not enough demand and real money.

Additionally, the public has officially been trained that gold and silver will only go up by the likes of Eric Sprott and others…if the public all over the world running out to buy any physical gold and silver they can find seems bullish to you…I have a bridge in manhattan that is available for let...

Meanwhile, Laszlo Birinyi and his fellow extrapolaters and linear projectionists have their rulers out and they are all pointed in one direction…and AAPL is still a short!

Prelude to a KISS…and not the good kind

Add to all the discombobulated patterns going on in this market that Spot Gold -0.1% Spot Silver -1.33%; Spot Platinum −0.36% and Spot Crude is down over $1.3 and the US Dollar DXY is down .45%. 

Add to that the Apple bond offering which has everyone bullish bullish bullish when in fact, the AAPL bond will be taking billions of dollars out of the market…that’s weeks of QE and its also likely not to generate sustained follow through for AAPL shares…things are just not adding up.

Education and Learning - do not require school, great expense or student loans…

…but desire for experience. the ability to see and try differently. to try. to create…

Metals ready to finish margin calls…Equities at risk of margin calls...

Some interesting data which helps to explain why lumber prices are not too far above 15 year lows on a miracle QE real estate recovery:

• South Korean Industrial Production -2.6% m/m (vs. +0.6% expected) 
• New Zealand Building Permits increased by -9.1%(MoM) in Mar vs. 1.9% in Feb, well below estimate set for 2.0%.
• U.S. April Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index: -15.6 vs. expected +5.0, prior was +7.4

Not to be fooled, precious metals look to be nearly complete with their bounces from deleveraging round 1…round 2 is likely up next and will most likely spread into equities deleveraging Round 1.

I have a few more charts coming as a part of this post so check back later to see the updates.

Everything that is WRONG with our financial system (and its enablers) is obvious…

Some would love to play a hand or few of poker. Its highly questionable if they would feel so inclined knowing that the deck was stacked artificially to an adversaries advantage or that someone was able to see their hands. That is unless you happen to be Jim O’Neill and GoldmanTax…for a select few a stacked deck and compromised hand is their definition of panacea. Jim, probably pays for a few mansions a year on the commissions he gets peddling his ability to handle central bank order flow and provide asset services. If your livelihood and your ability to buy 12 beautiful sailing yachts and a few mansions was impacted by a few little central banks, I am quite sure your interview would most likely not be that different than Jim’s below. But how else can I say it…WHAT AN A**HOLE. Goldman does not escape that definition either. If you read my blog you know, I have NEVER used any inappropriate adjectives. I aim to show restraint…but this is just disgusting. If you can print money, you can NOT buy stocks with it. Finis. Over. Out. Gone. Done. Complete. The only pretense I can come up with that would make it acceptable would be if your mansion and your yacht depended on it. But then, that would only be acceptable to you and not to the good of your fellow citizens. I suggest that EVERYTHING that is wrong with our financial system, BURNanke, BlankCHECK, JP MOREgan etc all espouse the same self-serving and truly disgusting complacency, idiocy and outright deception as that of our dear JIM.

Gold (and 10yr UST) suggest S&P500 initial break target around 1380

Deflation is alive…

In my earlier post today I show a UST 10 year divergence that is reaching untenability with the S&P500…it is currently suggesting that the S&P500 belongs at 1380. Using the recent Gold move to illustrate how that 1380 could be achieved and also a secondary endorsement of the Treasury hypothosis…Gold also points to 1380 for the S&P though that will, along with UST, likely be adjusted lower as Gold breaks its recent lows and UST Yields break their lows. 

Margin Debt likely now at a new record, NYSE not at a new record and short interest near 4 year lows, Central Banks selling their book…the setup fo an precious metals style disconnection in equities is in place...

Look closely at this chart and check out the thin red short interest line…we are near 4 year lows in short interest combined with nearly 8 year highs in margin debt…this makes for very few buyers once things start to drop and a less than strong-hands long position holders.

Market's hysteria still in place...

While we may end up eeking out a minor new high like S&P500 cash to 1605 or something…that changes nothing with the charts presented below. Technically, the market should not be able to sustain much longer or to a new high…but strange things are happening.

It appears that the gold liquidation is setting up for stocks…somebody definitely is on the know and is putting real money behind it…what do bonds know that Muppet's and GoldmanTax clients apparently do not.

Situation Normal all F**ed Up…

For something completely different...

Danny MacAskill - "Way Back Home" from Dave Sowerby on Vimeo.

Langone: Paul KRUDman versus Drukenmillter…Stan wins in 30 seconds

Central Bankers: "We have 7 Trillion and we are buying equities on the open market"…why tell us now?

Apparently, our central banker community has either taught GoldmanTAX its practices or studied those of Lloyd BlankCHECK in close detail. Why would any central bank, as a money creation entity mandated to be the supposed ultimate risk adverse goto financial anchor and facilitator of their currency, let alone a group of them, publicly admit to its hedgefund operations and surreptitious and direct buying of equities? I have often indicated on these pages that such non-disclosed activities are creating virtual hedgefunds out of our central banks…and they are not exempt from margin calls. So, covert purchases of assets are now OVERt ones. I think we need to turn to a page in the GS playbook, issue a “buy" report and “sell” as much as you can to anyone who believes it. It certainly strikes me as funny that the central bankers would now suddenly want to turn an altruistic and genuine face now…

They are most certainly NOT, altruistic, genuine or sanguine. An admission of direct buying in clearly non-disclosed accounts of highly risky securities is not reassuring at all to the public for a custodian of a currency and its financial institutions. This admission now, is rather odd timing right as the pressure on Central Bank QE is ratcheting up significantly. To put this in perspective, these non-disclosed account purchases are not all that different from a married pastor being involved in an affair but not getting caught. Then to attempt to soften the fallout of his lapses or imminent discovery, renders a PUBLIC admission (as the Central Banks have just done) to simply purchasing sexual favors. In fact, the sad reality is the married pastor’s likely has an unfavorable discovery to be found upon closer investigation - as they always do. Perhaps it could be discovered that the said favors were in fact drug fueled orgies with cross dressers and assorted other oddities. Central Banks purchasing debt in bankrupt entities and other outright high risk securities is not that different from such a dereliction of integrity as our gluttonous pastor…it is veritable sacrilege and likely to spread disease.

So, why do central banks admit to their affair now? I would think that the answer to that question represents a classic pump and dump and perhaps perfect for the stragglers who will want to believe that a gratuitous  open admission - and one that amounts to an one that occurs at the end of party.

Central bankers admit to an affair…but what is under the covers…

THE CENTRAL BANKS ARE CLEARLY TRYING TO GET SOMEONE ELSE TO HOLD THE BAG - right out of the Goldman handbook...

Surprise, Surprise…this time will NOT be different...

Chart Round up...

I have been very busy working on a significant software release…Gold and Silver and a number of other key markets at at pivotal junctures as can be seen below.

For those who think this is a wondeful opportunity to buy the metals…I think the margin calls coming on the impending weakness will spread to nearly every inflationary asset and that the propsects for precious metals, paper, physical or imaginary are not very good.

By the looks of things, the markets are going to get UUUGGGLLLLYYYY with a capital U very soon. There is just too much leverage everywhere and when it blows up it most likely look like the Gold and Silver crashes we just saw…only those have yet to spread and, in my opinion, have quite a bit further to go.