What the main stream press and the government say and what happens or happened are often two totally different things? I wonder whether that applies to the plans regarding market intervention, Afghanistan, the oil spill or financial reform? Somehow, I don't think we have to wonder too long to figure out the answer.
Despite the weakness in the market. People are paying up for leveraged long positions. We'll see how this plays out. Usually we would see the reaction sometime tomorrow...should be a several day affair if that happens. However, I will be watching to see if leverages position get thrown out or continue to see demand tomorrow
Below is a non optimized or risk managed HLA system (in fact, its the new EURUSD Forex system) running on ES 1 minute data. The ideas was to make a real system trade badly. So, there are a few drawdown trades. Using stops would have eliminated a substantial portion of the profitable trades that the system did execute - so they would not really have been risk management after all. So, there is a major problem. How can you trade without stops?
Below is the same system with the PLLimits engine managing profit and loss rules for hourly and daily trading.
Below is the result of driving the PLController module with PLLimits processed risk decisions.
The objective here was not to make a perfect system. In fact it was quite the opposite. The objective was to manage a highly imperfect system without constraining trade decisions or resorting to stops.
Above is the current status of the TF Daily Swing System. It has not added to its long position as you can see. This is a countertrend trade with mixed views among key systems, therefore, position sizes are reduced. I am confident that the system will handle this trade as respectably as possible and will be looking for entries for shorts sometime soon.
I have not been updating the blog that frequently because I have just moved and am getting things setup additionally to working on a significant release of my trade control software and risk management interface within the module.
I use Multicharts Charting and Backtesting Software.
I post high resolution charts made with Multicharts and Adobe Illustrator. Click on chart for a more detailled view.
If you do wish to contact me or have any questions you can do so at email@example.com
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